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tmua.me Extreme Set C Paper 2 · Q3

Paper 2Logic & proofProbability

Each use of either of two machines produces one of the numbers 00, 11 and 22, each with positive probability. The fixed probabilities may be different for the two machines. Let XX and YY be the results of independent uses of the first and second machines.

The two probability-weighted means are equal:

Pr⁡(X=1)+2Pr⁡(X=2)=Pr⁡(Y=1)+2Pr⁡(Y=2)=m.\Pr(X=1)+2\Pr(X=2)=\Pr(Y=1)+2\Pr(Y=2)=m.

It is also given that

Pr⁡(X>Y)=Pr⁡(Y>X).\Pr(X>Y)=\Pr(Y>X).

Consider the following statements.

  1. If Pr⁡(X=0)≠Pr⁡(Y=0)\Pr(X=0)\ne\Pr(Y=0), then m=1m=1.
  2. Pr⁡(X=Y)≥13\Pr(X=Y)\geq\dfrac13.
  3. If Pr⁡(X=0)=Pr⁡(X=2)\Pr(X=0)=\Pr(X=2), then Pr⁡(Y=0)=Pr⁡(Y=2)\Pr(Y=0)=\Pr(Y=2).

Which of these statements must be true?

AI only
BII only
CIII only
DI and II only
EI and III only
FI, II and III

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