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tmua.me Extreme Set A Paper 2 · Q3

Paper 2ProbabilityNumber & countingAlgebra

Each of a0,a1,…,a6a_0,a_1,\ldots,a_6 is chosen independently, with 11 and −1-1 equally likely. Define

P(x)=x7+a6x6+a5x5+⋯+a1x+a0.P(x)=x^7+a_6x^6+a_5x^5+\cdots+a_1x+a_0.

A student tries to find the probability that PP has at least one integer root.

  1. If an integer mm is a root, then mm divides a0a_0. Thus the only possible integer roots are 11 and −1-1.
  2. P(1)=0P(1)=0 precisely when four of the seven chosen coefficients are −1-1. Its probability is (74)/27=35/128\binom74/2^7=35/128.
  3. The probability that P(−1)=0P(-1)=0 is also 35/12835/128.
  4. Since the coefficients were chosen independently, the events P(1)=0P(1)=0 and P(−1)=0P(-1)=0 are independent.
  5. The required probability is therefore 2(35/128)−(35/128)22(35/128)-(35/128)^2.

Which of the following correctly identifies the first error and gives the required probability?

AThe first error is in I; the probability is 1332\dfrac{13}{32}.
BThe first error is in IV; the probability is 1332\dfrac{13}{32}.
CThe first error is in II; the probability is 3564\dfrac{35}{64}.
DThe first error is in IV; the probability is 3564\dfrac{35}{64}.
EThe first error is in V; the probability is 1332\dfrac{13}{32}.
FThere is no error in the argument.

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