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tmua.me Extreme Set A Paper 1 · Q5

Paper 1Probability

A number is initially 00. A fair coin is tossed eight times, with independent results. After each toss, the current number is doubled if the result is heads, and increased by 11 if the result is tails.

Given that the number after the eighth toss is 1515, what is the probability that the first toss was heads?

A1128\dfrac1{128}
B16\dfrac16
C13\dfrac13
D49\dfrac49
E12\dfrac12
F23\dfrac23

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